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THE BIG PICTURE

Trump's "historic" Iran deal is already falling apart — his own VP can't describe it the same way twice, and even his biggest supporters hate it.

Meanwhile, a secret memo reveals officials came dangerously close to suspending habeas corpus, Trump directed the DOJ to investigate Gavin Newsom for potentially running in 2028, and LAPD shot a Black woman's dog during Knicks celebrations.

On the bright side, if there is one: progressives are winning left and right.

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KEY DEVELOPMENTS

1. Trump's Iran deal is already falling apart in his own mouth

The "historic" ceasefire Trump announced with Iran before jetting to the G7 has a problem: no one in his administration can describe it the same way twice. JD Vance confirmed Iran will receive hundreds of billions of dollars under the agreement — and separately admitted that Trump's signature promise, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, is not actually resolved.

Trump then threw his own VP under the bus — again — in an error-ridden post.

Republican senators said they need "more information" before supporting the deal, MAGA hardliners called it a sellout — yes, even his biggest supporters think it’s a terrible deal — and Netanyahu scrambled to get an emergency meeting with Trump after being blindsided.

Jon Stewart put it cleanly: this deal looks nearly identical to the JCPOA Trump theatrically shredded in 2018, which means the last eight years of sanctions, war, and $4 gas accomplished exactly nothing.

The G7 allies greeted Trump's arrival with the diplomatic equivalent of polite applause at a child's recital.

2. Trump's DOJ is investigating Gavin Newsom — and Newsom is making it a rallying cry

California Governor Gavin Newsom went public Monday with a blunt accusation: Trump has directed the Justice Department to investigate him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, because he's "considering running for president."

Newsom framed it explicitly as retaliation — a political fishing expedition designed to intimidate a potential 2028 challenger.

This lands one week after a secret memo revealed Trump officials were actively pushing to suspend habeas corpus — and follows a pattern of weaponizing federal agencies against critics that no longer requires inference.

The question isn't whether Trump is doing this. The question is whether Democrats will treat it like the authoritarian playbook move it is, or issue a statement and move on.

3. LAPD shot a Black woman's dog during Knicks championship celebration at home

Marie Marseille was mid-celebration — her dog Jameson in a Knicks T-shirt, her son on FaceTime — when LAPD officers shot Jameson dead in the hallway of her Canoga Park apartment on Saturday night.

Police say they responded to a call about a "screaming woman" — which, during a championship win, is just called a fan — and that Jameson charged at an officer after Marseille briefly closed and reopened her door.

Her sister Vanessa Marseille told the Times the dog was shot multiple times. "What's more scary is that those shots could have hit her or anyone," she said. "It was reckless."

Six officers were on scene. None were injured. The Force Investigation Division is now reviewing the shooting.

The family is raising money on GoFundMe for cremation costs and to pursue justice for Jameson. "Before he eats his food, they pray together," Vanessa said. "That was her second son."

4. Hollywood showed up in New York — and made it count

While Trump staged gladiator fights at the White House, Jane Fonda, Robert De Niro, and Bette Midler headlined a "Rise Up, Sing Out" benefit concert in New York explicitly framed as a First Amendment defense.

Fonda's line — "We're coming for his ass" — landed even harder given that the concert happened within earshot of a president holding UFC fights on the White House lawn to celebrate his own birthday.

The event raised money for First Amendment legal defense organizations at a moment when the administration is actively investigating political opponents. It won't stop the DOJ from calling Newsom. But it put a price tag on silence — and a lot of famous people declined to pay it.

5. The Secret Memo: Trump Almost Suspended Habeas Corpus

This one deserves far more attention than it's getting. A newly revealed secret memo shows Trump officials were actively pushing to suspend habeas corpus — the foundational constitutional right that prevents the government from imprisoning people without charge. They came "dangerously close."

In the same week a Haitian asylum seeker named Daphy Michel died of hypothermia after being released by ICE into a Pittsburgh bus shelter, and ICE detention centers were enforcing dress codes so arbitrary they barred toddlers . These are not separate stories. This is the architecture of a detention state being built in real time. Expect legal advocacy groups and progressive lawmakers to push hard on the habeas memo throughout Tuesday.

6. Progressive candidates are winning Democratic primaries — and it's not an accident

After getting steamrolled in 2022 and 2024, the Democratic left is staging a real comeback — and the reasons are more interesting than you'd think. In Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed — who lost his 2018 gubernatorial primary by 20 points — is now effectively tied with the establishment pick for U.S. Senate. In Maine, progressive Graham Platner is the Democratic Senate nominee. In Minnesota, Peggy Flanagan is leading her primary.

Part of this is the establishment eating itself: New York's center-left backed Andrew Cuomo, a man who resigned the governorship in disgrace. Maine Democrats ran a candidate who was almost 80 and barely campaigned. Minnesota's centrist Rep. Angie Craig voted for a Trump-backed anti-immigration bill and lost her base overnight.

Progressives are also running smarter — targeting races where they have geographic and demographic advantages, and running candidates who can call Israel's assault on Gaza what it is, while centrist donors keep forcing their candidates into pro-Israel positions that are out of step with Democratic voters.

The establishment's losing streak isn't luck. It's consequences.

KEPT OUT OF YOUR FEED

What the algorithm buried:

NOTICE POLLING

Yesteday we asked, Do you think Trump can go lower, or has he hit rock bottom?

93% OF YOU SAID HE CAN GO LOWER:

  • “There is no bottom in his world”

    - lamakul

  • “He will go lower before he is finished. He has no concern for American citizens unless they can offer him something. The midterms will bring out the worst in him. We need to be prepared.

    - pattyplease01

  • “Trump is a sadist and a malignant narsissist. This behavior is typical of someone with that type of warped personality and this acting out meets a need that his abnormal psyche seeks.

    - waswhyalso

  • “I believe that we haven't seen anything yet. With the midterms on the line he's just getting started. The billions alotted for ICE will be put to use to try to terrorize people from voting in all kinds of horrible ways. He's still harping on Cuba, Greenland and Canada take overs. Let's not forget those pesky Epstein files. I unfortunately believe we will see worse before things get better. The hope is he can't last forever. Hopefully the midterms will turn the tide.”

    - obitlinda1712

WATCH THIS

Tuesday's special primary in California's 14th Congressional District — Eric Swalwell's old seat — lands the results tonight, but if no candidate clears 50%, the top two advance to an Aug. 18 runoff.

Watch whether state senator Aisha Wahab or BART director Melissa Hernandez locks it up early or whether this race drags into summer.

See you Wednesday.

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