THE BIG PICTURE
Last night's New York primaries were a referendum on whether the Mamdani moment was real — and the answer came back yes, loudly. Democratic socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier knocked off a five-term congressman, Brad Lander beat the establishment's guy, and Mamdani-backed candidates swept across the city while Trump, 80 years old and apparently forgetting the names of candidates he's endorsing, spent the evening rage-posting about a pool.
The left is building a bench. The old guard is getting primaried. And the President of the United States is losing to a single-celled organism.
Last night's New York primaries were a referendum on whether the Mamdani moment was real — and the answer came back yes, loudly.
Democratic socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier knocked off a five-term congressman, Brad Lander beat the establishment's guy, and Mamdani-backed candidates swept across the city while Trump, 80 years old and apparently forgetting the names of candidates he's endorsing, spent the evening rage-posting about a pool.
The left is building a bench. The old guard is getting primaried. And the President of the United States is losing to a single-celled organism.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS
1. Mamdani's sweep just rewrote the Democratic map in a single night
Last night's New York primaries were a political earthquake, and the aftershocks are still being measured. The Mamdani machine didn't just win — it swept. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a 32-year-old community organizer, knocked out five-term Rep. Adriano Espaillat. Brad Lander beat incumbent Dan Goldman. Claire Valdez took NY-7. Cait Conley won NY-17 despite Republican meddling.
The candidates Hakeem Jeffries backed lost.
The establishment left — the Goldman wing, the Espaillat machine, the donors who thought they could hold the line — lost badly. The progressive movement that coalesced around Mamdani's mayoral win has now extended its reach into congressional races, and it did so with a coalition of working-class voters, renters, immigrants, and young people that everyone said couldn't hold together past one election. They were wrong.
The clearest sign that Tuesday's New York primaries landed hard? Stephen Miller went on Fox News to have a public breakdown about it. When the architect of MAGA's cruelty is visibly rattled by democratic socialists winning congressional primaries, that is not a sign of a movement in trouble — that is a sign of a movement that just drew blood.
Also on the progressive win sheet: an admiral fired in Hegseth's military purge won her Democratic primary in South Carolina, setting up a midterm race against a Republican incumbent. And Jack Schlossberg — JFK's grandson, the establishment's sentimental favorite — failed to advance in the race to replace Jerry Nadler.
The Democratic Party establishment did not have a good Tuesday night.
Note: if you missed it, check out our Substack post on Mamdani’s big night.
2. Trump Is Melting Down, and a Book Is Pouring Gasoline
The Reflecting Pool disaster keeps getting worse, and Trump keeps making it worse by talking about it. Leaked government documents contradict his vandalism claims. A contractor confirmed the pool won't be ready for July 4.
Trump claimed six people were arrested for damaging it — a claim that, like the size of the "gash" in the liner, keeps shifting. Even a lame-duck Republican senator, Thom Tillis, is publicly mocking the president over it.
Into this chaos walks "Regime Change," the new book by Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan, and it is not kind. We're getting Trump's erratic sleep schedule, his fearful isolation, aides whispering behind his back, and his plan to put a giant fist on a national arch in Washington. The vanity is pathological. The instability is documented. This book will drive the news cycle for days, and every excerpt is going to confirm what the left has been saying since 2016.
Separately: reporting that Eli Lilly approved an obesity drug for a mystery 79-year-old patient has the White House furious . Trump's health is a story they cannot contain.
3. Epstein's ex-secretary tells Congress she set up Trump-Epstein calls for years — and the DOJ subpoenaed reporters to keep it quiet
Lesley Groff, hired by Jeffrey Epstein in 2001, told lawmakers she personally arranged phone calls between Trump and Epstein over the years, describing their relationship as "friendly." The testimony landed the same week the DOJ issued subpoenas to national security reporters at two major newspapers — subpoenas that were then quickly withdrawn after blowback.
The administration that promised to release the Epstein files is now subpoenaing the journalists covering them.
4. Tucker Carlson Names the Democrat Trump Fears in 2028
Since our last briefing, Tucker Carlson — who announced days ago he was done with the Republican Party — has now gone further, revealing which Democrat he says Trump is "very convinced" could win in 2028.
What matters: Carlson is now actively shaping the 2028 conversation from outside the GOP tent, and Trump's camp is apparently worried enough about a specific Democrat that they're talking about it. The View was unimpressed with Carlson's party exit, predicting he'll be back. They're probably right. But in the meantime, he's a useful source of what MAGA actually fears.
KEPT OUT OF YOUR FEED
What the algorithm buried:
Larry David called the White House UFC fight embarrassing to be an American — and that's not even the worst part
Congress just made history — here's what a 50-48 Senate vote means for Trump's Iran war
Jon Stewart had one very specific note for JD Vance after his Iran peace summit "joke."
Stewart also cornered Maggie Haberman on who's secretly recording Trump inside the Situation Room
Trump's new intel chief started firing people before he even learned what ODNI stands for
AI companies are fighting a $17 million turf war over one New York state assemblymember — and nobody can quite explain why.
Trump’s DOJ dropped federal bribery charges against an $88 billion Indian billionaire — a few months after he met privately with Donald Trump Jr.
The UN says there is still a genocide going on — and the numbers on who's being killed are impossible to ignore.
Kristi Noem almost caught her husband on the phone with a dominatrix while running America's deportation machine.
The Fox News host ranting about traditional family values turns out to be a single, never-married mom of three adopted foreign-born kids.
Bernie wants to take 50% of every major AI company — and hand you the profits.
NOTICE POLLING
Yesterday we asked, Do you think Tucker Carlson is trying to set himself up to run for president in 2028?
62% OF YOU SAID YES:
“I sure wish I could say no, but he has ambitions beyond being a lying reporter of "news". I think he wants to be the next lying commander in chief. Hoping the American public has had enough of un qualified people trying to run the country.”
- twoasps
“100%- The most strategic thinkers heading into 2028 know that their prospects weaken every day that they continue to hitch their horse onto the orange wagon… ENTER Tucker-!! He has the GOP street cred the pedigree and is saying all the right things that both sides seem to agree upon. He is a legit '28 option. Now all he needs is big $$ backing.”
- a15anaya
“NO — He's up to something though, don't know what. I don't trust that guy an inch.”
- annaflorin99
“I don't think he would have a chance. What would he run on, now that he quit Maga republicans? I don't think Conservatives and Democrats would trust him. He's been Maga for so long, you just don't change lanes without creating doubt as to where you actually stand.”
- obitlinda1712
“NO...but it wouldn't surprise me if he did. Republicans really LOVE media personalities over credible candidates. ”
- michaelhogshooter
“Yes. He cannot be trusted. I think he is a master manipulator.”
- dalesallybaldwin
HELP SUPPORT OUR WORK
Independent media is more important than ever. Become a paid subscriber for less than a cup of coffee, see fewer ads, and you'll get our expanded Sunday edition too.