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THE BIG PICTURE
Hegseth got grilled over the Iran war's ballooning cost as Trump's approval hits Nixon-level lows and his party panics about the midterms. Mamdani's call to arrest Netanyahu sparked a MAGA meltdown, while ICE arrested a record 43,138 people in June and Trump's 50% Canada tariffs took effect. Meanwhile, El-Sayed picked up a major progressive endorsement in the Michigan Senate race.
Things are not slowing down.
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KEY DEVELOPMENTS
1. Hegseth can't explain the Iran war's cost — as 4 soldiers killed this weekend alone
Pete Hegseth appeared before the Senate Appropriations Committee Tuesday to defend $87.6 billion in additional Pentagon funding for the Iran war — and got ripped apart.
The defense secretary revealed the war has already cost $37.5 billion, but analysts say his total cost estimate is suspiciously low compared to independent projections.
Senator Jon Ossoff made it a spectacle, pressing Hegseth repeatedly on claims about the war's progress. The Pentagon is simultaneously running out of both weapons and money.
Four U.S. service members were killed over the weekend, Trump's own intelligence reportedly says escalating airstrikes aren't bending Tehran, and Speaker Mike Johnson — the man who exists to say yes to Trump — went on record saying the war needs to be brought "to a resolution."
When you've lost Mike Johnson, you've lost the bit.
2. Trump's slush fund isn't dead, his polls are at Nixon lows, and his own party is panicking about the midterms
Todd Blanche, Trump's nominee for attorney general, admitted in written Senate answers that Trump's so-called "Anti-Weaponization Fund" — a slush fund a judge already threw out the underlying case for — is not actually dead. Republican Senator John Cornyn called Blanche's answers "not good enough.”
Meanwhile, Trump hit a record-breaking approval low that analysts are calling "horrible" — worse than Nixon — with 67% of mothers saying the country is on the wrong track and nearly half citing cost of living.
Republicans are reportedly panicking that Trump has "zero" interest in helping with midterms, more focused on Iran, his ballroom, and the SAVE Act.
The party built a cult of personality around a man who has never once cared about anyone but himself — and they're only now starting to see that may have been a huge mistake.
3. MAGA absolutely melts down over Mamdani’s call to arrest Netanyahu
New York City's mayor posted a video Tuesday calling Benjamin Netanyahu a war criminal and demanding the feds arrest him.
Then the right lost its damn mind.
Zohran Mamdani looked directly into the camera and called Netanyahu "the architect of a horrific genocide against the Palestinian people" — 73,000 killed, children amputated without anesthesia, neonatal hospitals targeted, aid workers shot dead.
He acknowledged NYC can't execute the ICC warrant on its own, per the Guardian. But the feds can. "I call on them to join the ICC and execute this warrant," he said.
Trump promised Netanyahu won't be arrested "in any way, shape, or form." Then the MAGA pile-on began.
Mike Huckabee called Mamdani an "evil anti-Semite" and said he should be the one arrested. Tim Scott called it "ridiculous."
Rep. Randy Fine went further, calling Mamdani a "Muslim terrorist."
Rep. Mike Lawler tried the hypocrisy angle — except Mamdani has said Putin should be arrested too. That one didn't land.
Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have both joined the ICC in calling what's happening in Gaza a genocide.
4. Trump's 50% Canada tariffs are here, and they're going to cost you
Trump has imposed 50% tariffs on most Canadian goods, and the fallout is already visible. Canada canceled a joint ceremony to celebrate the opening of the Gordie Howe International Bridge — a project decades in the making — after the announcement.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says the country is "united" and leaders are talking before tariffs fully take effect next month, but Ontario Premier Doug Ford is already calling for dollar-for-dollar retaliation. Experts say the average American household will feel the cost directly.
Trump's own advisers are scrambling to talk him out of additional tariff rounds, warning of economic shocks ahead of the midterms. He is not listening. He never listens. That's the whole thing.
5. ICE arrested a record 43,138 people in June — and the human cost is becoming impossible to ignore
Guardian analysis shows immigration enforcement agents arrested 43,138 people in June alone — a record — as quiet, steady operations ramp up across the country.
That doesn’t include the 28-year-old father who was killed in an ICE encounter… who turned out to be a tourist from Mexico with a flight home already booked.
Salah Sarsour, president of Wisconsin's largest mosque, spoke out after spending 80 days in ICE detention, saying the "dehumanizing" treatment brought back memories of time spent in an Israeli military jail.
Separately, a federal appeals court reversed the release of Mohsen Mahdawi, the pro-Palestinian Columbia student activist detained by ICE in April 2025, ruling that the lower court judge overstepped authority by intervening before the case moved through the immigration court system. A man sentenced to 30 years for moving a box of zines at a Texas ICE protest is now the subject of a New Republic piece written by his sister. The machinery is running at full speed, and the stories it's producing are not abstractions.
6. Abdul El-Sayed picks up a major endorsement as the Michigan Senate race becomes a test case for the progressive movement
314 Action Fund — the group dedicated to electing Democratic scientists to office — has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate race, calling him a "bold, progressive leader" capable of "systemic change.”
El-Sayed, a physician and former Michigan gubernatorial candidate, is running in what the AP is now calling a crucial test of whether the progressive movement's 2026 high-water mark is Mamdani's New York win — or the beginning of something much larger.
The 314 Action endorsement matters: the group has a strong track record of activating science-literate donors and volunteers, and Michigan is exactly the kind of state where a doctor running against a broken healthcare system has a genuine message. AIPAC is simultaneously losing its grip on Democrats, which opens space for candidates like El-Sayed who don't need to triangulate on Gaza. The lane is real. The question is whether the money follows.
KEPT OUT OF YOUR FEED
What the algorithm buried:
Kimmel’s show figured out why White House staffers are terrified of Melania — and the Dracula comparison tracks
Here's the one thing Trump didn't want you to do — read this book about his "Imperial Presidency" that just hit 500,000 copies sold
Trump is literally running a fake "application failed" scam email on his own supporters
Caught red-handed, Ken Paxton bolted from his own press conference the second a reporter asked about his voter fraud allegations.
Fetterman keeps slamming the Democratic left, and is hinting at possible party switch… bye!
Amazon's internal emails reveal how the company has been quietly hiking prices at Walmart, Target, and beyond
UnitedHealth sued the Guardian for reporting on secret payments to nursing homes — a judge just told them where to go
Mamdani will reportedly appoint antitrust crusader Lina Khan as chair of NYC economic development agency — more great news
NOTICE POLLING
Yesterday we asked, Should Mamdani arrest Netanyahu when he comes to NYC?
97% OF YOU SAID YES:
“He is a war criminal with a warrant. He should be arrested not protected.”
- dalesallybaldwin
“He personally may not have the authority but he could certainly have someone who does waiting to arrest the was criminal.”
-laceydance6
“He should, but will he? Probably not. He could if he believed the outcome would be less disruptive than the backlash from the media and the gop. He does have the nation's largest police force at his command...on paper anyway. Keeping it in the news cycle is the most that will come of this. We'll see what happens of this nothing sandwich”
- a15anaya
“He should follow the law. If that includes arresting Bibi, then do it. Arresting him might help get us out of this war with Iran as well. Putin should have been arrested when he was here as well. Trump goes above and beyond to protect war criminals. He's a traitor to our country. Any normal president wouldn't be rubbing elbows with enemies.”
- mewise498
“If war crimes are committed then justice should be served. Perhaps we should also look at home for criminals who've also committed war crimes.”
- callajr.jc
“He is under criminal indictment. Yes he should be arrested and turned over to the world court for trial, as should ant other indicted criminal on the world stage.”
- twoasps
“Absolutely he should be in prison. Kegsbreath is not qualified to be in any position of authority; especially concerning life and death situations.”
- b.benda234
“Along with this whole administration and their enablers in congress who won't put a stop to it. It is within their power to stop all of this, but they won't because it lines their pockets - and that is both sides of the aisle. Why do we think they want to stay in power until they die of old age??? Not to help any of us peons, that is for sure.”
- twoasps
That’s all for today — we will see you tomorrow!
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