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THE BIG PICTURE

Happy Tuesday and happy primary day! Here’s what on tap today:

  • Abdul El-Sayed just proved money can't buy everything

  • Trump's personal lawyer advances to full Senate vote after GOP "rebels" fold

  • The Reflecting Pool fiasco is complete, and Jeanine Pirro was seen hauling boxes of evidence to the Oval Office

  • The Pentagon has burned through "virtually all" of its long-range precision missiles in the Iran war

  • And: John Fetterman embarrasses himself on Jon Stewart’s show

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KEY DEVELOPMENTS

1. Abdul El-Sayed just proved money can't buy everything

Michigan Democrats picked their nominee — and it's another gut punch to the establishment.

Abdul El-Sayed has won the Senate primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, capping the most expensive outside spending assault in Democratic primary history.

El-Sayed, the progressive epidemiologist and Medicare for All champion, spent months telling packed crowds that Michigan is not for sale.

Apparently, it’s not.

The opposition threw everything at him. AIPAC and other groups spent more than $60 million to stop El-Sayed. Gretchen Whitmer endorsed his opponent. Peters, the retiring incumbent, backed her too. The ads painted him as a terrorist sympathizer. Didn't matter.

El-Sayed joins a progressive wave happening all across the county — not just in Mamdani’s New York. He now faces Republican Mike Rogers in November, in a purple state Trump won in 2024, with Senate control on the line.

"Mike – and I know you're listening, Mike – we are coming for you,” El-Sayed told his crowd.

Now that he is the nominee, will establishment Democrats endorse El-Sayed, or give him the Mamdani treatment?

Tell us your thoughts after voting.

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2. Trump's personal lawyer advances to full Senate vote after GOP "rebels" fold

The Senate Judiciary Committee voted along party lines Tuesday to advance Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination to the full Senate — but the real story is how it got there.

Senators Thom Tillis and John Cornyn had spent weeks threatening to block Blanche unless they got written assurances that Trump's $1.8 billion slush fund for January 6 allies was dead. They got a vague letter. They voted yes anyway. Cornyn then told reporters: "There's nothing we could do to rein in the president" — a sentence that should be engraved on the tombstone of Republican oversight.

Epstein survivors, who had been promised meetings with both senators, were left waiting in Tillis's office for 45 minutes before a staffer told them he wasn't coming. Blanche, meanwhile, was caught on a recorded "prayer call" last week promising religious hard-liners that Dobbs would become "permanent in every single state." Susan Collins announced her opposition Tuesday evening, which means the math on the floor vote is tight — but so was the math on every other thing Republicans promised to stop.

CORRECTION: Yesterday, we erroneously reported that James Talarico was running in the upcoming general election against John Cornyn. This is incorrect. Talarico is running against the criminally indicted fascist Ken Paxton. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

3. The Reflecting Pool fiasco is complete: every charge dropped, Pirro hauling boxes to the Oval Office

Every single criminal case from Trump's Reflecting Pool vendetta has now collapsed. The DOJ quietly acknowledged in a court filing that the pool's damaged lining was caused by the contractor's flawed installation — not vandals — and dropped charges against the remaining defendants, including Justin Carreno, Sophie Dennison-Gibby, and Cameron Thiers.

Jeanine Pirro, apparently terrified of being fired, was seen hauling a large white box of evidence to a private Oval Office meeting Monday night to convince Trump that his own Interior Department had lied to him about the vandalism. Trump is reportedly considering firing her anyway. CNN's Kaitlan Collins aired a supercut of administration officials' now-demolished claims. The government prosecuted innocent people, wasted federal resources, and humiliated itself in court — and the only person who might face consequences is the prosecutor who didn't lie enough.

4. Pentagon has burned through "virtually all" of its long-range precision missiles in the Iran war

Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources with access to Defense Department data, that the U.S. military has used up "virtually all" of its Precision Strike Missiles and Army Tactical Missile Systems in the five-month Iran war, and has burned through nearly half of its Tomahawk supply.

Officials warned that any further escalation would require piloted bombing missions — putting fighter pilots at risk — and that the depletion leaves the U.S. unable to deter Russia or China.

The White House denied the report, saying the U.S. has "far more munitions than anyone in the world."

Trump, separately, complained this week that oil companies are "making too much money" from the war he started — ExxonMobil posted $14.5 billion in quarterly profit, Chevron its highest ever at $12.2 billion. He suggested they'd "give some of that back to the public."

KEPT OUT OF YOUR FEED

What the algorithm buried:

NOTICE POLLING

Yesterday we asked, Is Talarico going to take Texas?

A FULL 100% OF YOU SAID YES:

  • “Talarico is the first breath of fresh air to hit Texas in decades. He speaks for the people who are less articulate than himself, and speaks truth to power.”

    - lamakul

  • “James Talarico is the best shot for the Democratic party to take a state-wide office in Texas in over 30 years. Because he's running against the scandal-ridden GOP candidate Ken Paxton, Talarico is likely to win, and show that Trump's endorsement of chosen candidates in elections doesn't have the power it once had! ”

    - cdmalin

  • “This may be a hope rather than an accurate prediction. The polls can be tricky when figuring the numbers of Independent voters. I am registered as an Independent to protect my privacy from harassment by MAGA, et al, but I always vote blue. Perhaps there are many more Independents who will swing the vote blue?

    - ara.denver

That’s all for today — we will see you tomorrow!

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